The clock is ticking

April 16th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top News One week to save the ceasefire With one week to save the ceasefire, reports emerged that the US and Iran are both considering a two-week extension to allow more time for negotiations, though neither side has formally confirmed it. Read more → A Keiko coronation? Peru just held its messiest election in years — 50,000+ people couldn't vote, one official got arrested, and 35 candidates showed up including a comedian and a guy who calls himself a cartoon pig. Out of the chaos, Keiko Fujimori has clearly emerged on top according to Polymarket traders. Read more → The AI valuation arms race Investors are throwing money at AI companies faster than they can say no. Anthropic was said to have received offers valuing it at $800 billion — more than double its $380B valuation from February. Polymarket traders think hitting a $500B valuation by end of year looks more than set. Read more → MVP madness With 1 day left in the NHL regular season, we still have no idea who the 2025-26 MVP will be. Three different players -- Connor McDavid, Nathan MacKinnon and Nikita Kucherov -- have between 30% and 40% odds, making the award race a very unusual toss-up. Read more → Back to business, Scottie Rory took the green jacket on Sunday. Scottie Scheffler took the runner-up and drove straight to Hilton Head. Round 1 of the RBC Heritage is underway and traders are optimistic Scheffler can go one better this week — but it's far from safe yet. Harbour Town's tight fairways don't care about star power, and there's a long way to go. Read more → ​ Wallet Watch Trading big on Keiko While Peru counts its ballots, one trader is already up over $50k Keiko Fujimori. With her odds around 65% and climbing, this could be a very good week in Lima. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? View market → 99% +67% S&P 500 all time high by April 17, 2026? View market → 99% +50% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17? 12h Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off) 12h See all Ending Soon → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...? $6.60M Fed decision in April? $6.30M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 94d 2026 NBA Champion 75d UEFA Champions League Winner 44d See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.

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